Roy Morgan poll early June 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 909 of whom 854 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: 03 June 2013 to 16 June 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 44.0% (+3.0%)
• Labour 33.0% (-2.0%)
• Green 11.5% (-0.5%)
• NZ First 6.0% (+1.5%)
• Maori 2.0% (nc)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Conservative 2.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 54
• Labour 41
• Green 14
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 54 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 56/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 56/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 54.0% (-1.5%)
• Wrong 33.5% (+1.0%)
• Can’t Say 12.5% (+0.5%)