NZ Herald Digipoll October 2011

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 10.6%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 671 had a party vote preference

Dates: 20 to 27 October 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

• National 53.5% (+1.5%)
• Labour 30.3% (-1.2%)
• Green 9.5% (-0.3%)
• NZ First 2.8% (+0.4%)
• Maori 1.2% (-0.6%)
• United Future 0.1% (nc)
• ACT 1.5% (+0.3%)
• Mana 0.1% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

• National 67
• Labour 38
• Green 12
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• ACT 2
• Mana 1
• Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 67 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 70/124 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 51/124 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• Key 70.6% (+0.9%)
• Goff 13.7% (+2.2%)
• Peters 3.5% (-1.7%)

Direction

• Right 59.0% (-0.5%)
• Wrong 32.0% (-0.2%)
• Unsure 9.0% (+0.7%)

MMP

• Keep MMP 48%
• Change 15%
• Don’t Know 15%

Rugby World Cup

• 39% say McCaw should be knighted for winning RWC, 61% say no
• 57% say the RWC was a great event and worth spending $40m on