Roy Morgan poll April 2016

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 843 of whom 784 have a party preference

Undecideds: 7.0%

Dates: early April to 17 April 2016

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 42.5% (-3.5%)
• Labour 26.0% (-2.0%)
• Green 14.5% (+0.5%)
• NZ First 12.5% (+3.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 1.5% (+0.5%)
• Mana/Internet 0.0% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 1.0% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 51
• Labour 32
• Green 18
• ACT 2
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 15
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 51 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 54/121 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 32 + Greens 18 = 50/121 – 11 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 15 + Maori 2 = 17/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 57.5% (-3.5%)
• Wrong 30.5% (+1.5%)
• Can’t Say 12.0% (+2.0%)