One News Colmar Brunton poll April 2016
April 10, 2016
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,011 voters of whom 841 have a party preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 2 to 6 April 2016
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 50.0% (+3%)
- Labour 28.0% (-4%)
- Green 10.0% (+2.0%)
- NZ First 9.0% (-1%)
- Maori 1.1% (nc)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.7% (+0.4%)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.3%)
- Conservative 0.3% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 34
- Green 11
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 11
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 11 = 45/121 – 16 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/121
On this poll National could govern alone.
Preferred PM
- John Key 39.0% (-1)
- Andrew Little 7.0% (-2%)
- Winston Peters 10.0% (+1%)
- Jacinda Ardern 2.0% (nc)
Economic Outlook
- Better 43% (+5%)
- Worse 33% (-6%)
- Same 24% (+1%)
Sugar Tax
- 66% support a tax on soda drinks with sugar
- 29% oppose
Universal Basic Income (UBI)
- Support 32%
- Oppose 49%
Medical Marijuana (cannabis)
- Support 73%
- Oppose 21%
Immigration Levels
- More migrants 18%
- Fewer migrants 27%
- About right level 51%