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The Press reports:

A Press Research First poll has revealed that nearly a third of Christchurch voters are undecided and another third of the electorate could also be up for grabs.

The poll was taken before Christchurch Mayor Bob Parker announced he was not going to stand for another term.

It found that Parker was attracting only 20 per cent of the vote, Labour MP Lianne Dalziel was winning 48 per cent, while 32 per cent of people were undecided.

The poll also shows that 40 per cent of people who said they would vote for Dalziel were doing so because they wanted a change or were unhappy with Parker.

About 41 per cent of the mayoral choices were tactical in some way, meaning they were voting against the other candidate rather than for their choice.

Of those that had chosen a candidate, 70 per cent favoured Dalziel and 30 per cent supported Parker.

Another story states:

Christchurch people have given their city councillors the worst rating ever seen by a polling company, but do not want the Government to take over, a new survey says.

The Press Research First poll has found widespread disillusionment with councillors and the mayor over their leadership since 2010. The main complaint was dysfunction and lack of unity.

The poll asked Christchurch residents to rate the performance of council leadership on a scale from zero to 10, with zero being very poor. About 60 per cent of people gave council leadership a score lower than five. …

The poll also found that Christchurch people do not want the Government to take over council leadership as it did with Environment Canterbury in 2010.

About 51 per cent of those polled said they disagreed with Government intervention. Twenty-eight per cent agreed with a Government takeover.

And a further story on CERA:

People were asked to rate Cera on a scale of zero to 10, with zero being very poor. About 20 per cent of respondents gave Cera a five out of 10; 26 per cent said Cera were doing a good job, 13 per cent complained of a lack of progress; and 9 per cent said they could be doing a better job.

Lack of progress was the main reason for a poor rating.

Research First also calculated a ratings score based on the ratio of low ratings to high. The score ranges from +100 to -100. Cera scored -51 on the scale, compared to -79 for councillors and the mayor, which was the worst ever seen by the polling company.

 

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 971 of whom 913 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: 17 June 2013 to 30 June 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 46.5% (+2.5%)
  • Labour 31.5% (-1.5%)
  • Green 13.0% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 3.5% (-2.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 40
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/122 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 58/122 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 57.0% (+3.0%)
  • Wrong 32.0% (-1.5%)
  • Can’t Say 11.0% (-1.5%)

NZ Herald poll June 2013

June 26, 2013

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 11.9%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 661 had a party preference

Dates: 12 to 23 June 2013

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.8% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 30.9% (-5.5%)
  • Green 10.5% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 5.1% (+2.6%)
  • Maori 1.8% (+0.7%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.3%)
  • ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.5% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 38
  • Green 13
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 52/123 -10 less than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 6 + Maori 3 = 9/123

Preferred PM

  • Key 65.2% (+2.2%)
  • Shearer 12.4% (-6.1%)
  • Peters 6.4% (+2.4%)
  • Norman 3.6%

Labour Leadership successors if Shearer goes

  • David Cunliffe 31.8%
  • Grant Robertson 16.7%
  • Andrew Little 13.5%
  • Other 11.0%
  • Unsure 27.0%

Inquiry into GCSB

  • Agree 52.1%
  • Disagree 36.9%
  • Don’t Know 11.0%

Peter Dunne

  • 22% believe he did not leak GCSB report
  • 59% do not believe his denial

Sky City deal

  • 34% approve
  • 62% disapprove

Fluoride

  • 48% support fluoride being added to drinking water
  • 25% opposed
  • 24% up to local council

Fiordland transport projects

  • 46.2% back a tunnel and/or monorail track
  • 46.2% oppose

National leadership when Key goes

  • Bill English 29.7%
  • Steven Joyce 25.4%
  • Judith Collin 13.0%

Student Loans

  • 57% agree with arresting loan defaulters at the border
  • 40% disagree

Sir Douglas Graham

  • 55% say he should lose knighthood
  • 33% disagree

Working for Families Tax Credits

  • 51% support extending to parents on welfare
  • 41% opposed

Housing developments

  • 43% back Govt having power to override councils’ planning and consent processes
  • 51% opposed

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 909 of whom 854 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: 03 June 2013 to 16 June 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 11.5% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 54
  • Labour 41
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 54 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 56/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 56/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 54.0% (-1.5%)
  • Wrong 33.5% (+1.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.5% (+0.5%)

NCEA poll

June 1, 2013

The Herald reports:

In a survey by the New Zealand Council for Educational Research, 54 per cent of parents said they supported the framework.

“It’s the first time parental support has risen above 50 per cent in the survey series and it was higher among parents with a child in the senior school,” said Rosemary Hipkins, who wrote the survey report.

The survey last year of 177 principals, 1,266 teachers and 1,477 parents also found that 95 per cent of principals and 69 per cent of teachers supported the system.

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,057 of whom 1,004 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 13 May 2013 to 26 May 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 41.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 35.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 4.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (-1.0%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.5% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 53
  • Labour 46
  • Green 16
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 53 + United Future 1 = 54/120 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 16 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.5% (-1.0%)
  • Wrong 32.5% (+2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.0% (-1.0%)

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 of whom 828 have a party preference

Undecideds: 17.2%

Dates: 20 May 2013 to 24 May 2013

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 49.4% (+4.5%)
  • Labour 31.9% (-4.4%)
  • Green 11.2% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 3.2% (+0.4%)
  • Maori 1.6% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.3%)
  • Mana0.1% (-1.3%)
  • Conservative 1.6% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 46
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT1 + United Future 1 = 65/124 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 11 + Mana 1 = 58/124 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 59.2% (+7.0%)
  • Wrong 40.4% (-7.4%)

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom 849 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 12.8%

Dates: 17 to 23 May 2013

Client: 3 News

Report3NewsPoll may 2013

Party Support

  • National 47.1% (-2.3%)
  • Labour 33.1% (+2.9%)
  • Green 12.0% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 2.2%  (+1.2%)
  • United Future 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 2.2% (-1.6%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 41
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 40.7% (+3.1%)
  • Shearer 10.5% (+0.5%)
  • Peters 6.1% (+0.8%)
  • Norman 3.6% (+0.3%)

Leadership Performance Ratings

  • John Key – 55.0% (-0.3%) well and 30.3% (-1.9%) poor = +24.7% net well (+1.6%)
  • David Shearer – 36.2% (+3.8%) well and 36.3% (+0.5%) poor = -0.1% net well (+3.3%)

Labour/Green power policy

  • Support 54%
  • Oppose 39%

Waka Jumping

  • 77% support a law to allow parties to expel from Parliament List MPs
  • 18% opposed

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,011 respondents of whom 849 had a party vote preference

UndecidedsDates: 18 to 22 May 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+6.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (-3.0%)
  • Green 9.0% (-4.0%)
  • ACT 0.3% (+0.2%)
  • Maori 1.3% (nc)
  • United Future 0.7% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 1.2% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 3.6% (+0.6%)
  • Conservative 1.7% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 42
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 11 + Mana 2= 55/122 – seven fewer than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 42% (+3.0%)
  • David Shearer 12% (-3.0%)
  • Winston Peters 4% (+1%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 55% (+5%)
  • Same 19% (nc)
  • Worse 26% (-5%)

Food in Schools

  • 70% support the Government providing food to children at low decile schools
  • 26% against

Budget 2013

  • Personally better off 6% (+3% from 2012)
  • About the same 70% (+2%)
  • Worse off 13% (-9%)

Affordable Housing

  • 30% say Govt doing enough to keep housing affordable
  • 62% say not enough

Electricity

  • 57% support Labour/Green policy
  • 37% oppose

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 894 of whom 849 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 29 April 2013 to 12 May 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (-2.5%)
  • Labour 32.0% (+0.5%)
  • Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 1.5% (+1.0%)
  • Mana 1.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 40
  • Green 15
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + United Future 1 = 56/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 56.5% (+2.0%)
  • Wrong 30.5% (-3.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (+1.5%)
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