Roy Morgan poll December 2016

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 872 of whom 824 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 28 November to 11 December 2016

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 45.0% (-4.5%)
• Labour 28.5% (+5.5%)
• Green 14.5% (nc)
• NZ First 7.5% (-0.5%)
• Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Mana/Internet 0.5% (+0.5%)
• Conservative 0.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 55
• Labour 35
• Green 18
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 9
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/120 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 35 + Greens 18 = 53/120 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 9 + Maori 1 = 10/120

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power

Country Direction

• Right 58.5% (-6.5%)
• Wrong 27.5% (+3.5%)
• Can’t Say 14.0% (+3.0%)