One News Colmar Brunton 17 September 2014
September 19, 2014
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 838 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 10%
Dates: 12 September to 17 September 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 45.1% (-0.9%)
- Labour 25.2% (+0.2%
- Green 12.5% (-1.5%)
- ACT 0.6% (-0.6%)
- Maori 1.6% (+0.8%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Mana/Internet 1.8% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 8.1% (+1.1%)
- Conservative 4.4% (+0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 32
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 2
- NZ First 10
- Conservative 0
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 + Mana/Internet 2 = 50/122 – 12 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 10 = 13/122
On this poll the centre parties would hold the balance of power and National could form a centre-right Government with either the Maori Party or NZ First Party while Labour could only form a centre-left Government with both centre parties.
Preferred PM
- John Key 43% (-3.0%)
- David Cunliffe 12% (-2.0%)
- Winston Peters 5% (-1.0%)