One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2013

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,006 respondents of whom 862 had a voting preference

Undecideds: Dates: estimate 27 July to 31 July 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 46.0% (-3.0%)
• Labour 33.0% (nc)
• Green 14.0% (+5.0%)
• ACT 0.7% (+0.4%)
• Maori 1.6% (+0.3%)
• United Future 0.2%(-0.5%)
• Mana 0.2% (-1.0%)
• NZ First 3.3% (-0.3%)
• Conservative 0.6% (-1.1%)

Projected Seats

• National 58
• Labour 42
• Green 17
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Conservative 0
• Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – two fewer than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 42 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 60/123 – two fewer than minimum needed to govern
• C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/122

The Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• John Key 41% (-1.0%)
• David Shearer 13% (+1.0%)
• Winston Peters 4% (nc)

Next National Leader

• Bill English 23%
• Steven Joyce 16%
• Judith Collins 11%
• Someone else 5%
• Don’t know 45%

Economic Outlook

• Better 52% (-3%)
• Worse 28% (+2%)
• Same 20% (+1%)

Meridian share float

• 14% likely to buy shares
• 86% unlikely

GST on international purchases

• 36% support GST on online purchases of under $400
• 59% oppose

Foreign property buyers

• 62% support foreigners being unable to buy
• 32% opposed