Roy Morgan poll late February 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,052 of whom 1,010 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 11 February 2013 to 24 February 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Scoop

Party Support

• National 47.5% (+3.5%)
• Labour 30.5% (-4%)
• Green 12.5% (-1%)
• NZ First 3.0% (-1%)
• Maori 2.5% (+2.0%)
• United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 60
• Labour 39
• Green 16
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 60 + United Future 1 = 61/120 – the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 56/120 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 54.0% (-1.0%)
• Wrong 32.5% (+2.0%)
• Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%)