Roy Morgan poll June 2017

June 24, 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 871 of whom 817 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.5%

Dates: 29 May to 11 June 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 46.5% (+3.5%)
  • Labour 25.5% (-3.0%)
  • Green 14.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 9.0% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 1.5% (nc)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 0.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 32
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 11
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 17 = 49/121 – 11 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 61.5 (+1.0%)
  • Wrong 27.0% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.0%)
  • The Veteran

    these rogue polls keep coming just like waves. Disheartening for some. The big thing I take out of it is the 61.5% that think the country is heading in the ‘right’ direction.

  • Brian Sandle

    Does “random phone” include cellphone numbers since landlines are not as evenly distributed?

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