Roy Morgan poll March 2017

March 26, 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 847 of whom 783 have a party preference

Undecideds: 7.5%

Dates: 27 February to 12 March 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 43.5% (-4.5%)
  • Labour 29.5% (+3.5%)
  • Green 14.5% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 7.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Conservative 0.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 53
  • Labour 36
  • Green 18
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/120 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 18 = 54/120 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 9 + Maori 2 = 11/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 61.5% (-2.0%)
  • Wrong 25.5% (+2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)
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