Roy Morgan poll November 2016

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 858 of whom 802 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.5%

Dates: early November to 20 November 2016

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 49.5% (+1.5%)
• Labour 23.0% (-3.5%)
• Green 14.5% (+3.0%)
• NZ First 8.0% (-2.0%)
• Maori 1.5% (nc)
• United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Mana/Internet 0.0% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 0.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 60
• Labour 28
• Green 18
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 10
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 28 + Greens 18 = 46/121 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 14/121

On this poll National could govern with ACT and/or United Future.

Country Direction

• Right 65.0% (+9.5%)
• Wrong 24.0% (-5.0%)
• Can’t Say 11.0% (-4.5%)