Roy Morgan poll February 2016

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 896 of whom 833 have a party preference

Undecideds: 7.0%

Dates: early February to 14 January 2016

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 48.5% (+1.5%)
• Labour 27.0% (-0.5%)
• Green 14.5% (+0.5%)
• NZ First 6.0% (-0.5%)
• Maori 1.0% (-2.0%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana/Internet 0.5% (+0.5%)
• Conservative 1.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 60
• Labour 33
• Green 18
• ACT 1
• Maori 11
• United Future 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 33 + Greens 18 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121

On this poll National could form a CR Government with either ACT or United Future.

Country Direction

• Right 56.5% (-3.0%)
• Wrong 28.5% (+0.5%)
• Can’t Say 15.0% (+2.5%)