Archives: NZ Issues Polls

Stay at home parenting poll

January 20, 2017

A poll by Curia for Family First found:

In the independent poll of 846 people undertaken by Curia Market Research, 74% of respondents agreed with the statement; “It is generally better for children when one of the parents can stay home as a full-time parent”. Only 19% disagreed. Strongest support came from Green Party supporters (86%) followed by NZ First supporters (76%). Lowest was from Labour supporters (69%). Stronger support was from males than females.

60% of respondents also agreed with the statement; “As the Government presently subsidises Early Childhood Education, the Government should also subsidise a parent who stays at home to care for a young child.” 30% disagreed, with 11% unsure or refusing to say.

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Sex education poll

January 20, 2017

A poll by Curia for Family First found:

In the independent poll of 846 people undertaken by Curia Market Research, 78% said that they would be confident teaching their children about sex and sexuality issues. Confidence was higher amongst National and NZ First supporters than Labour / Green supporters.

62% believe that parents, not the Government, should have the final say on what sex education is provided in schools – with parents of children under 18 stronger on this view than adults without young children (68% v 59%). Once again, National and NZ First supporters backed the role of parents (65% and 63% respectively) but support for the government rather than parents dictating the curriculum was higher amongst Green voters.

 

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Anti-smacking law poll November 2016

January 15, 2017

A poll by Curia for Family First found:

  • 23% agree it should be a criminal offence for a parent to give their child a smack that is reasonable and for the purpose of correction
  • 72% disagree
  • 65% said regardless of the law they would smack their child to correct their behaviour if they thought it was reasonable
  • 28% said they would not
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National Leadership poll

December 6, 2016

A Fairfax Nielsen poll finds the following support to replace John Key as Leader and Prime Minister:

  • Don’t Know 39%
  • Bill English 37%
  • Steven Joyce 6%
  • Judith Collins 4%
  • Paula Bennett 4%
  • Amy Adams 3%
  • Other 6%

Also in terms of impact on voting National:

  • 9% now more likely to vote National
  • 16% less likely

And in terms of election timing:

  • 61% no early election
  • 17% as soon as possible
  • 13% within six months
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UMR poll on Scott Watson

November 27, 2016

The Herald reports:

GUILTY
2002: 59%
2016: 23%
NOT GUILTY
2002: 15%
2016: 29%
UNSURE
2002: 26%
2016: 48%

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One News Colmar Brunton poll November 2016

November 27, 2016

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,010 voters of whom 839 have a party preference

Undecideds: 16%

Dates: 12 November to 23 November 2016

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (+2%)
  • Labour 28.0% (+2%)
  • Green 11.0% (-2.0%)
  • NZ First 10.0% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.8%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.2% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 34
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 12
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 13 = 47/122 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 12 + Maori 1 = 13/122

On this poll National could govern with ACT and United Future.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 36.0% (-2%)
  • Andrew Little 8% (-2%)
  • Winston Peters 8% (-3%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 1.0% (nc)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 43% (-2%)
  • Same 24% (nc)
  • Worse 33% (+2%)

Foreign property tax

  • Support a 15% tax on foreign house buyers in Auckland 75%
  • Oppose 18%

Plastic bag levy

  • Support a 15c per bag levy 78%
  • Oppose 19%

Surplus 2016

  • Increase spending 48%
  • Reduce debt 31%
  • Reduce taxes 17%
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ResearchNZ poll on Euthanasia

November 6, 2016

ResearchNZ polled 500 people on euthanasia:

Suppose a person has a painful, incurable disease. Do you think that doctors should be allowed by law to end the patient’s life, if the patient requests it?

  • Yes 65% (-2% from July 2015)
  • No 22% (-2%)
  • Don’t Know 13% (+4%)

Still thinking of that person with a painful, incurable disease, do you think that someone else, such as a close relative, should be allowed by law to help end the patient’s life, if the patient requests it?

  • Yes 43% (-1%)
  • No 46% (-2%)
  • Don’t Know 11% (+3%)
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Ipsos poll on immigration

October 2, 2016

Ipsos did a poll on immigration issues in multiple countries including 505 adults in NZ.

Findings include:

  • 48% say housing affordability is one of top two issues
  • 47% say immigration has been positive for NZ, 31% negative
  • A net 52% agree immigration should be targeted at professions with shortages
  • A net 48% say refugees can become highly valued contributors to society
  • A net 35% say immigration has made NZ a more interesting place to live
  • A net 28% say immigration is good for the economy
  • A net 30% agree immigration has placed too much pressure on public services
  • A net 15% are confident most refugees will integrate
  • A net 12% say immigration has made it harder for those here to get jobs
  • A net 10% say there are too many immigrants in NZ
  • A net 10% say terrorists who pretend to be refugees will enter NZ
  • A net 7% say immigrants are often better workers than those already here
  • A net -15% want an increase in the number of refugees
  • A net -35% say the number of immigrants who can move here should increase
  • A net -40% want no refugees accepted at all
  • 48% of NZers think Brexit was wrong decision for the UK and 32% right decision

The full results are here – ipsos-new-zealand-immigration-refugees-and-brexit-survey-report-2016

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One News Colmar Brunton poll September 2016

September 12, 2016

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,013 voters of whom 845 have a party preference

Undecideds: 13%

Dates: 03 September to 09 September 2016

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (nc)
  • Labour 26.0% (-3%)
  • Green 13.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 11.0% (+2.0%)
  • Maori 1.8% (+1.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.3% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 31
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 13
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 31 + Greens 15 = 46/121 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 13 + Maori 2 = 15/122

On this poll National (plus ACT and United) could govern with the Maori Party.  Labour could govern with Greens, NZ First and Maori Party. The Maori Party would hold the effective balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 38.0% (-1%)
  • Andrew Little 10% (+3%)
  • Winston Peters 11% (-1%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 1.0% (nc)

 

Economy

  • Better 45% (+3%)
  • Worse 31% (-5%)

Immigration

  • Fewer migrants 38% (+11% from April)
  • Current numbers rights 44% (-7%)
  • More migrants 13% (-5%)

Housing

  • 53% say Government should take more action even if it reduces house values
  • 31% say more should be done but only if house values do not shrink
  • 11% say no more action needed
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Republicanism poll

September 5, 2016

The Herald reports:

The poll asked 1,006 voting age New Zealanders and was taken during August.

The question was first asked in March 2014 and showed support starting at 44 per cent. By April 2015 it was up to 47 per cent.

The question asked “What is your preference for New Zealand’s next head of State?”, the results were:

• British monarch: 34%
• New Zealand head of State, parliamentary elected: 15%
• New Zealand head of State, directly elected: 44%
• Unsure/don’t know: 7%

 

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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 36.8% 46
Labour 29.3% 37
Act 8.6% 11
Green 11.9% 15
NZ First 5.1% 6
Maori 3.6% 6
CR 50.5% 63
CL 44.9% 58
Total 97.8% 121
10/05/24
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