The Herald reports:
A majority of voters support changing the law to allow gay couples to adopt children, according to the latest Herald-DigiPoll survey. …
More than half – 54.3 per cent – of the poll respondents said the law should be changed to allow gay couples to adopt children, 38 per cent disagreed, and 7.7 per cent did not know or refused to answer.
Polling Company: Research International
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Dates: 27 to 31 October 2011
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
Projected Seats
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
The Herald on Sunday reports:
Phil Goff might be the Labour Party’s chosen one – but it doesn’t look like anyone else wants him. After hundreds of polls asking who voters prefer as prime minister, the Herald on Sunday this week asked who they least wanted.
According to the Key Research poll of 1182 voters, the clear “winner” was Goff at 25.6 per cent. …
The Act leader polled second on 14.5 per cent and Mana Party leader Harawira was third on 13.2 per cent.
John Key, who polled fourth “worst” on 7.8 per cent, also refused to comment.
According to a 1200-voter Key Research phone poll commissioned by the Herald on Sunday, regular voters are firmly behind MMP – three voters want to keep it for every two who want it dumped.
The Herald on Sunday poll finds 45 per cent of voters want to keep MMP and 28 per cent want it dropped. Only 1.2 per cent support SM, making it the least popular of the five systems that voters can choose from.
A Manawatu Standard/Versus Research poll of 400 voters showed 53 per cent of voters wanted to keep MMP, 25 per cent preferred First Past the Post, while 21 per cent did not know.
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Undecideds: 10.6%
Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 671 had a party vote preference
Dates: 20 to 27 October 2011
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald
Party Support
Projected Seats
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
Direction
MMP
Rugby World Cup
UMR polled 750 NZers on their views of other countries.
The net positive ratings for each country were:
Australia
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 22 September to 28 September 2011
Client: 3 News
Report:
Party Support
Projected Seats
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
Leadership Approval
Feeling after three years
Greens
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 858 had a party preference
Undecideds: 10%
Dates: 24 to 28 September 2011
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
Projected Seats
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
Economic Outlook
NZ doing good job of Rugby World Cup Hosting
Blame for RWC Opening Night Issues
Knowledge of Date of General Election
What outcome matters more
Marae Digipoll have done a poll of 1,000 Maori votes. 655 were from the Maori roll and 345 from the general roll.
The margin of errors are 3.2%, 3.9% and 5.4% respectively. The average no of respondents per Maori electorate is 94 which has a margin of error of 10.4%.
Party Vote – All Maori voters
Party Vote – General roll Maori voters
Party Vote – Maori roll Maori voters (2008 result in brackets)
Electorate Vote (all 7 electorates)
Te Tai Tokerau
Tamaki Makaurau
Waiariki
Te Tai Tonga
Tainui
Te Tai Hauauru
Ikaroa Rawhiti
With the high margin of error, one can work out the probability that a candidate in the seat is actually in the lead. They are:
Has Maori Party represented Maori well?
Support Maori Party decision to vote for Marine and Coastal Area Bill?
Accept Maori Party position that compromise worthwhile to ensure seat at Cabinet table?
Agree with Harawira that Maori Party lacks energy and candidates too old?
Should Shane Jones take over from Phil Goff as Labour Leader?
Has traditional voter support for Labour dropped?
Can Hone Harawira effectively lead Mana Party?
Which Maori MP best represents views of Maori?
Preferred PM