Archives: NZ Issues Polls

Newshub Reid Research Flag poll

February 2, 2016

Newshub reports:

The latest Newshub/Reid Research poll is bad news for Prime Minister John Key, with 61 percent of people saying no, they don’t want to change the New Zealand flag. Only 30 percent want a change.

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Herald DigiPoll December 2015

December 15, 2015

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 04 to 14 December 2015

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 51.3% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 31.1% (+0.1%)
  • Green 8.2% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.7% (-1.2%)
  • Maori 2.1% (+1.9%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.3%)
  • ACT 0.8% (+0.6%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.0% (-0.6%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 37
  • Green 10
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – three more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 10 = 47/121 – 14 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 2 = 9/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 65.2% (+1.5%)
  • Andrew Little 16.2% (+2.9%)
  • Winston Peters 7.9% (-3.7%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 2.8% (-1.1%)

TPP

  • 27% support (+5%)
  • 26% oppose (-6%)
  • 46% no view (nc)

Iraq

  • Support deployment 63% (+4%)
  • Oppose deployment 30% (-4%)

Obesity

  • 53% say school tuck shops should ban unhealthy food
  • 44% disagree

US Ship Visits

  • 50% say a US visit would be positive
  • 29% don’t want a visit
  • 16% say a visit would be a triumph for NZ nuclear free policy
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Q+A Colmar Brunton poll Nov 2015

December 14, 2015

A Colmar Brunton poll for Q+A found:

Most concerning issues in order:

  1. Wages
  2. Housing affordability
  3. Unemployment
  4. Foreign property ownership
  5. Immigration
  6. Climate change

Poverty

  • Government should be doing more about poverty 66%
  • Government is doing about right amount 27%
  • Government should be doing less 1%

Social Housing

  • Government should be doing more for social housing 55%
  • Government is doing about right amount 36%
  • Government should be doing less 3%

Republic

  • NZ should become a republic 19%
  • Stay with monarchy 73%

Australian deportations

  • NZ should deport non citizens who serve more than a year in prison 74%
  • Disagree 18%
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UMR Flag Poll October 2015

October 19, 2015

UMR polled 1,000 people online:

1st  preferences:

  • Red white and blue fern 36%
  • Black white and blue fern 33%
  • Red Peak 18%
  • Black and white fern 7%
  • Koru 6%

2nd round:

  • Red white and blue fern 37%
  • Black white and blue fern 34%
  • Red Peak 21%
  • Black and white fern 8%

3rd round:

  • Red white and blue fern 39%
  • Black white and blue fern 38%
  • Red Peak 23%

4th round:

  • Red white and blue fern 51.8%
  • Black white and blue fern 48.2%

Head to head matches vs current NZ Flag:

  • Red white and blue fern 36%
  • Black white and blue fern 35%
  • Red Peak 19%
  • Black and white fern 18%
  • Koru 13%
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NZ Flag September 2015

October 16, 2015

ResearchNZ found:

  • 28% want a new flag
  • 61% do not
  • 43% support adding Red Peak to the referendum, 45% do not
  • The most popular alternative designs are Black, white and blue silver fern 31%, red white and blue silver fern 23%, Red Peak 22%, Koru 5%, black and white fern 1%
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Syrian refugees

October 16, 2015

Research NZ found:

  • 61% agree with Government decision to allow 750 Syrian refugees in, including 600 on top of quota
  • 28% disagree
  • 28% think the extra number of 600 is about right, 36% say it should be more and 23% less
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Gender Equality poll

October 2, 2015

 

Research NZ surveyed 500 New Zealanders on gender equality. Their findings:

  • In health system 14% say women treated more favourably, 9% men and 72% equal
  • In education system 18% say women treated more favourably, 10% men and 68% equal
  • In justice system 19% say women treated more favourably, 10% men and 59% equal
  • In social settings 10% say women treated more favourably, 26% men and 57% equal
  • In government 11% say women treated more favourably, 25% men and 54% equal
  • In workplaces 4% say women treated more favourably, 45% men and 46% equal
  • In business 2% say women treated more favourably, 62% men and 32% equal

Overall 9% of NZers saying they have been personally disadvantaged because of their gender.

55% say NZ has better gender equality than other Western countries, 9% say worse and 29% the same.

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One News Colmar Brunton poll September 2015

September 13, 2015

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,002 of whom 849 have a party preference

Undecideds: 11%

Dates: 29 August to 02 September 2015

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (nc)
  • Labour 32.0% (nc)
  • Green 12.0% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 7.0% (nc)
  • Maori 1.2% (+0.8%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.1% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 39
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 = 53/122 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 9 + Maori 1 = 10/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 40.0% (nc)
  • Andrew Little 10.0% (+2.0%)
  • Winston Peters 6.0% (-1.0%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 3.0% (+1.0%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 33% (-3%)
  • Worse 45% (+4%)
  • Same 22% (-2%)

NZ Flag

  • Change flag 28% (+2%)
  • Keep flag 66% (+2%)
  • Unsure 6% (-3%)

Foreign Investment in Sensitive Land

  • Continue current approval process 37%
  • Ban all foreign investment in sensitive land 54%

Private Prisons

  • Should should be privately run 21%
  • All should be run by Corrections 69%

TPP

  • Should sign 24%
  • Not sign 44%
  • Don’t know 32%
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UMR flag poll

September 2, 2015

UMR polled 1,000 people in August 2015 on flag options. Findings.

Preferred Alternative Design

  • Silver Fern and Southern Cross on red and blue 25%
  • Silver Fern and Southern Cross on black and blue 19%
  • Silver Fern and Southern Cross on black 8%
  • Silver Fern and Southern Cross on red and black 6%

First Preference vs current flag

  • 52% change to preferred
  • 48% retain

Care about design of flag

  • 42% a lot
  • 35% a fair amount
  • 17% not that much
  • 5% not at all

 

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NZ Herald DigiPoll August 2015

August 26, 2015

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Subscriber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750 of whom 660 have a party preference

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: 14 August to 24 August 2015

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 50.8% (-0.2%)
  • Labour 31.0% (+2.3%)
  • Green 9.2% (-1.6%)
  • NZ First 6.9% (+0.8%)
  • Maori 0.2% (-0.6%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.6%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.2% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.6% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 38
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 11 = 49/122 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 1 = 9/122

On this poll National would be able to govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 63.7% (-0.9%)
  • Andrew Little 13.3% (-0.6%)
  • Winston Peters 11.6% (-0.4%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 3.9% (+3.4%)

Country Direction

  • Right 50.9% (-4.4%)
  • Wrong 40.9% (+4.9%)

Next National Leader

  • Bill English 30.3%
  • Steven Joyce 14.2%
  • Paula Bennett 11.4%
  • Simon Bridges 7.2%

Next Labour Leader

  • Annette King 21.8%
  • Jacinda Ardern 20.1%
  • Grant Robertson 18.0%
  • Phil Twyford 4.0%

Private Prisons

  • 57% say prisons should always be run by the state
  • 38% say there is a place for well-run private companies operating prisons.

Foreign House Buyers

  • 32% support a ban on foreigners buying houses
  • 20% oppose a ban
  • 42% would support a ban if there is evidence foreign buyers are pushing prices up

NZ Flag

  • 53% against change in principle
  • 23% support change in principle
  • 24% depends on alternative designs

TPP

  • 30% oppose TPP
  • 20% support TPP
  • 45% not know enough to have a view

Iraq

  • 59% support the deployment of troops to do training (+2%)
  • 34% oppose
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 32.7% 40
Labour 33.1% 41
Green 10.2% 13
Act 7.9% 10
NZ First 10.2% 13
TPM 2.6% 3
CR 50.8% 63
CL 46.0% 57
16/02/26
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