Archives: NZ Issues Polls

UMR poll on medicinal cannabis

September 1, 2016

Stuff reports:

Of those who responded, 76 per cent agreed New Zealand laws should be changed so patients had safe and legal access to medicinal cannabis products prescribed by licensed doctors.

Just 12 per cent answered were opposed, while another 12 per cent were undecided.

The poll showed a 4 per cent rise in support for law reform since UMR’s last poll on the issue in January.

Auckland University of Technology psychology and public health professor Max Abbott said the numbers reflected a change in national opinion.

“It’s quite remarkable that only 12 per cent were opposed – this may be the lowest level of opposition ever found in a cannabis poll in New Zealand.”

A second question about whether natural cannabis products should be treated as herbal remedies when used therapeutically was supported by 61 per cent of respondents.

A further 24 per cent opposed the idea, and 15 per cent were undecided. 

 

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UMR poll on house prices

August 23, 2016

Hive News reports:

But yesterday UMR released results of a poll that found 60% of Aucklanders and 55% of home owners would prefer that house prices either fell a bit or fell dramatically over the next year.

The poll of 1,000 New Zealanders over the age of 18 was taken from July 29 to August 17 through UMR’s online omnibus survey and found a total of 63% nationwide who would either prefer house prices to ‘fall but not too much’ (37%) or to fall dramatically (26%).

UMR, which conducts polls for the Labour, found 55% of home owners would prefer house prices to fall a bit (40%) or dramatically (15%).

The poll found 14% of respondents preferred house prices either kept rising rapidly (4%) or at a slower pace (10%), while 17% of Aucklanders wanted house prices to keep rising rapidly (4%) or at a slower pace (13%). A total of 15% of home owners wanted house prices to rise rapidly (2%) or at a slower pace (13%). There were 633 home owners and 331 Aucklanders who took the poll.

The poll also asked if there was a housing crisis at the moment and found that 81% of all respondents and 85% of Aucklanders thought there was a crisis, while 79% of home owners thought there was housing crisis. Fourteen per cent of those polled thought there was no crisis and 5% were unsure.

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Cannabis poll August 2016

August 15, 2016

The Herald reports on a poll done by Curia for the NZ Drug Foundation.

150816CANNABISonline

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Newshub Reid Research poll August 2016

August 9, 2016

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 22 July to 3 August 2016

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 45.1% (-1.9%)
  • Labour 32.7% (+1.4%)
  • Green 11.5% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 8.1% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.3% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.5% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 39
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 = 53/122 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 36.7% (nc)
  • Andrew Little 10.5% (+1.6%)
  • Winston Peters 10.9% (-1.2%)

Housing

  • 22% (+2%) think Government is doing enough to control the housing market
  • 75% (-1%)  do not
  • 56% support Labour’s Kiwibuild (100,000 new houses in 10 years) policy
  • 41% do not

Immigration

  • 60% think the Government should let fewer immigrants in
  • 37% do not
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Kermadec ocean sanctuary poll

May 19, 2016

Stuff reports:

A new poll shows a majority of Kiwis support the Government plan to set up an ocean sanctuary in the Kermadec region.

Of 1,150 New Zealanders that took part in the polling, 89 per cent were in favour of the reserve – with 62 per cent in definite support, while 28 per cent ‘probably’ supported it (results were rounded).

Those who opposed the sanctuary made up 5 per cent, with the rest saying they were unsure.

Polling also found that for those who identified as Maori, 86 per cent were in support.

The poll was commissioned by conservation group WWF and carried out by Colmar Brunton from 27 April to 8 May, after Te Ohu Kaimoana launched legal proceedings against the Government on 29 April for allegedly breaching Maori fishing rights.

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UMR poll on tax avoidance

April 28, 2016

The NZ Herald reports:

Pressure over the Panama Papers on the Government is rising after a poll showed a majority of New Zealanders were concerned about the country’s new reputation as a tax haven.

An announcement by international investigators said details of hundreds of thousands of entities, including many with local links, would soon be made public.

A poll by UMR Research, conducted for activist group ActionStation, showed 57 per cent of respondents were “concerned” about New Zealand being a tax haven and the misuse of our foreign trust regime for tax evasion purposes. Just 23 per cent said they were “not concerned” about the issue. …

The UMR poll, of 750 people between April 14 and 18 and with a margin of error of 3.6 per cent, also asked respondents how they thought the Government had handled the fallout from the Panama Papers and whether they thought the review of foreign trusts by former PWC chairman John Shewan, was an adequate response.

Nearly half, or 46 per cent of respondents, said the Government was handling the issue poorly, with only 21 per cent saying it was being handled well. And more than half, or 52 per cent of respondents, said the Shewan review was an inadequate response to the issue.

 

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One News Colmar Brunton poll April 2016

April 10, 2016

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,011 voters of whom 841 have a party preference

Undecideds: 13%

Dates: 2 to 6 April 2016

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (+3%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-4%)
  • Green 10.0% (+2.0%)
  • NZ First 9.0% (-1%)
  • Maori 1.1% (nc)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.7% (+0.4%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.3% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 34
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 11
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 11 = 45/121 – 16 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 39.0% (-1)
  • Andrew Little 7.0% (-2%)
  • Winston Peters 10.0% (+1%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 2.0% (nc)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 43% (+5%)
  • Worse 33% (-6%)
  • Same 24% (+1%)

Sugar Tax

  • 66% support a tax on soda drinks with sugar
  • 29% oppose

Universal Basic Income (UBI)

  • Support 32%
  • Oppose 49%

Medical Marijuana (cannabis)

  • Support 73%
  • Oppose 21%

Immigration Levels

  • More migrants 18%
  • Fewer migrants 27%
  • About right level 51%

 

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Cannabis poll

March 31, 2016

UMR polled 750 people on cannabis issues:

  • 72% support the use of marijuana for medical purposes
  • 13% oppose the use of marijuana for medical purposes
  • 46% support the legalisation of small amounts of marijuana for personal use
  • 46% oppose the legalisation of small amounts of marijuana for personal use
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UMR flag polls Mar 2016

March 22, 2016

UMR did another poll on the flag referendum:

  • 58% keep flag
  • 35% change
  • 7% unsure
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UMR flag poll

March 7, 2016

Stuff reports:

As voting gets underway there is still overwhelming support for the current flag over a change to the silver fern design.

The latest UMR Research poll undertaken in the last week of February has 59 per cent wanting to keep the flag and 32 per cent in favour of change.

Because this poll was done over the phone, those people who were unsure which way they would vote were included and came out at 9 per cent.

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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 29.6% 36
Labour 35.7% 44
Green 8.8% 11
Act 7.8% 10
NZ First 12.7% 16
TPM 2.2% 3
CR 50.1% 62
CL 46.7% 58
19/04/26
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