Fairfax Research International Poll August 2011
September 5, 2011
Polling Company: Research International
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000, of whom xxx had a party preference
Dates: 25 to 29 August 2011
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 57.1% (+1.1%)
- Labour 25.7% (-3.3%)
- Green 11.0% (+4.6%)
- ACT 1.1% (-1.1%)
- Maori 1.6% (+0.4%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
- Mana 0.6% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 2.2% (+0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 32
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 70 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 72/123 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 32 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 47/123 -15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 54.6% (+1.6%)
- Phil Goff 8.5% (+2.3%)
- Winston Peters 2.8% (+0.3%)
Labour Leadership
- 20% say they are more likely to vote Labour if they change leader
- 11% say less likely
- 65% say no difference
Rugby World Cup
- 68% think NZ will win
- 11% Australia
- 7% South Africa
- 2% England