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Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 871 of whom 817 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.5%

Dates: 29 May to 11 June 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 46.5% (+3.5%)
  • Labour 25.5% (-3.0%)
  • Green 14.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 9.0% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 1.5% (nc)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 0.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 32
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 11
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 17 = 49/121 – 11 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 61.5 (+1.0%)
  • Wrong 27.0% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.0%)

Horizon reported:

Support for medical assistance to die for those suffering from end-stage terminal illness and irreversible unbearable suffering was 75% overall, with only 11% opposed. …

Polling of another possible policy option found overall support was also very strong for medical assistance to die for people who had irreversible conditions, such as motor neurone disease, which may not cause death in the immediate future, with 66% in favour and 15% opposed or strongly opposed.

Stuff reports:

The survey, commissioned by Church Property Trustees, found 59 per cent of respondents felt Anglicans should not make the decision alone. About 48 per cent of those polled believed the Government should intervene in the future of the cathedral.

It also found 58 per cent of Christchurch residents polled favoured restoration of the earthquake-damaged building, while 33 per cent wanted a new building and 9 per cent did not mind or care what happened. …

However, respondents’ preferences changed after they were told a new build would not require government or ratepayer funds, would take eight years and would not have an impact on rates.

This was contrasted to restoration, which had a $56 million funding gap, would take seven years and would cost $1000 a day in insurance once restored. The survey did not mention the $10m government loan offer or a $15 million funding pledge from heritage group the Great Christchurch Buildings Trust for the restoration.

After this, 43 per cent of respondents wanted restoration, 49 per cent wanted a new build and 8 per cent eight per cent still did not mind or care what happened.

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  June 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 47.4% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 26.4% (-4.4%)
  • Green 12.5% (+1.3%)
  • NZ First 9.4% (+1.8%)
  • Maori 0.7% (nc)
  • United Future 0.3% (-0.1%)
  • ACT 0.9% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.8% (+0.4%)
  • Opportunities 0.8% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 33
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 12
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 33 + Greens 15 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 12 + Maori 1 = 13/122

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 26.2% (+1.2%)
  • Andrew Little 7.0% (-1.3%)
  • Winston Peters 9.7% (+0.8%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 6.6% (-3.9%)

Leader Approval

  • Andrew Little -6% (-5.5%)
  • Bill English +25% (-5%)

2017 Budget Family Incomes Package

  • Support 67%
  • Oppose 26%

Curia did a poll for the Property Institute. It asked how important is housing policy in determining your vote:

  • Will determine 8%
  • Very important 29%
  • Important 29%
  • Not an issue 32%

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom around 801 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: 27 May to 31 May 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 30.0% (nc)
  • Green 9.0% (-2.0%)
  • NZ First 9.0% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 0.6% (-3.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.1%%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • Opportunities 1.4% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 37
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 11
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 11 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/122

On this poll National could govern with ACT and United Future.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 29.0% (+3%)
  • Andrew Little 8% (+1%)
  • Winston Peters 7% (-2%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 6% (-3%)

2017 Budget

  • 44% support tax changes
  • 30% opposed

Housing

  • Government taking right approach 30%
  • Wrong approach 59%

Mental Health

  • Support independent inquiry 77%
  • Oppose 16%

 

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 856 of whom 809 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 01 May to 14 May 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 43.0% (nc)
  • Labour 28.5% (-1.0%)
  • Green 14.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 10.0% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (-1.0%)
  • Mana/Internet 1.0% (+1.0%)
  • Conservative 0.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 53
  • Labour 35
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 12
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 35 + Greens 17 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 12 + Maori 2 = 14/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 60.5 (+2.5%)
  • Wrong 27.0% (-2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.5% (-0.5%)

Mental Health poll

May 27, 2017

Stuff reports:

Only one out of ten New Zealanders thinks the Government is adequately supporting mental health care.

That’s according to a new poll released on Wednesday for the Public Service Association.

The poll showed 13 per cent of those surveyed thought the Government was doing enough to make sure Kiwis had the mental health care they needed when they needed it.

A further 60 per cent thought the Government wasn’t doing enough and 22 per cent were neutral. Five per cent of respondents weren’t sure.

 

The Property Institute released:

“The number of people predicting an increase in property prices over the next six months is up 5% to 55% since March. Those expecting prices to decrease has dropped 5% from 12% to just 7%”.

“This means that expectations have rebounded to figures that closely match our November poll (56% increase & 8% decrease) – except in Auckland where there has been a big slump in expectations. Back in November 58% of Aucklanders were expecting house prices to rise – but last month that figure was down 12% to 46%, unchanged from our March poll”.

Pornography poll

May 1, 2017

A poll by Curia for Family First found:

  • 71% of respondents think pornography overall is bad for society and only 4% good.
  • 68% say online depictions of sexual violence are very harmful to society and 90% say moderately or very harmful.
  • 72% says there is a fair bit or a lot of connection and 42% say there is a lot of connection between online pornography and public issues such as ‘rape culture’ and sexting.
  • 62% of adults say they have come across pornography online, when not seeking it out. 13% say this has happened often and 48% at least occasionally.
  • 91% say that it is too easy for under 18s to access online pornography.
  • 81% say that Internet Providers should be required by the Government to offer filters to block pornographic material.
  • 70% say that Internet Providers should automatically block pornography unless the customer opts out by turning off a filter.
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