One News Colmar Brunton poll early August 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 834 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 13%

Dates: 12 August to 16 August 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 44.0% (-3.0%)
• Labour 37.0% (+13.0%)
• Green 4.3.0% (-10.7%)
• NZ First 10.0% (-1.0%)
• Maori 2.1% (+0.6%)
• ACT 0.4% (+0.1%)
• Opportunities 2.1% (+0.6%)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 49
• Green 0
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• NZ First 12
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + ACT 1 = 58/121 – three fewer the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 49 + Greens 0 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 12 + Maori 2 = 14/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• Bill English 30.0% (+2%)
• Jacinda Ardern 30% (+24%)
• Winston Peters 7% (-3%)