One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2017

July 10, 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Around 1,000 voters of whom around 850 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 15%

Dates: 1 July to 5 July 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (-2.0%)
  • Labour 27.0% (-3.0%)
  • Green 11.0% (+2.0%)
  • NZ First 11.0% (+2.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+1.4%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.0% (nc)
  • Opportunities 1.0% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 33
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 14
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/122 – three fewer the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 33 + Greens 14 = 47/122 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 14 + Maori 2 = 16/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 26.0% (-3%)
  • Andrew Little 5% (-3%)
  • Winston Peters 11% (+4%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 6% (nc)
  • Anthony Blomfield

    ha

  • G the giant from Dunedin

    The left. are history

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