Archives: Republicanism

Republicanism poll

September 5, 2016

The Herald reports:

The poll asked 1,006 voting age New Zealanders and was taken during August.

The question was first asked in March 2014 and showed support starting at 44 per cent. By April 2015 it was up to 47 per cent.

The question asked “What is your preference for New Zealand’s next head of State?”, the results were:

• British monarch: 34%
• New Zealand head of State, parliamentary elected: 15%
• New Zealand head of State, directly elected: 44%
• Unsure/don’t know: 7%

 

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Q+A Colmar Brunton poll Nov 2015

December 14, 2015

A Colmar Brunton poll for Q+A found:

Most concerning issues in order:

  1. Wages
  2. Housing affordability
  3. Unemployment
  4. Foreign property ownership
  5. Immigration
  6. Climate change

Poverty

  • Government should be doing more about poverty 66%
  • Government is doing about right amount 27%
  • Government should be doing less 1%

Social Housing

  • Government should be doing more for social housing 55%
  • Government is doing about right amount 36%
  • Government should be doing less 3%

Republic

  • NZ should become a republic 19%
  • Stay with monarchy 73%

Australian deportations

  • NZ should deport non citizens who serve more than a year in prison 74%
  • Disagree 18%
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Head of State Poll April 2015

May 4, 2015

New Zealand Republic announced:

Our annual poll was conducted between April 6 and April 21 and shows 47% of Kiwis want our next Head of State to be a New Zealander. This is a rise of 3% since June 2014.

This is great news for our campaign with the poll showing a corresponding decrease in support for the British Monarch to 46%. This is the highest ever result in our annual poll and the first time we have measured higher support than the Monarchy. Undecided voters remained at 7%.

The poll of 1000 people was carried out on landlines by Curia Market Research.

The detailed results were:

What is your preference for New Zealand’s next Head of State out of the following three options?

 * The next British Monarch becomes King of New Zealand? 46%

* New Zealand has a New Zealander as Head of State elected by a two thirds majority in Parliament   11%

* New Zealand has a New Zealander as Head of State who is elected by the popular vote 36%

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NZ Herald Digipoll September 2013

September 25, 2013

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 8.6%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 686 had a party preference

Dates: 17 to 23 September 2013

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 43.7% (-5.1%)
  • Labour 37.7% (+6.8%)
  • Green 11.3% (+0.8%)
  • NZ First 4.4% (-0.7%)
  • Maori 0.8% (-1.0%)
  • United Future
  • ACT
  • Mana 0.7% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 48
  • Green 14
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/124 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 48 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 63/124 -the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/124

On this poll, there would be a centre-left Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 55.8% (-9.4%)
  • Cunliffe 16.8% +4.4% from Shearer)
  • Peters 6.2% (-0.2%)
  • Norman 3.7% (+0.1%)

Impact of Cunliffe win on Labour

  • More likely to vote Labour 20.4%
  • Less likely to vote Labour 14.4%
  • No difference 63.0%

Subsidies

  • Film production subsidies 64% approve, 32% disapprove
  • Tiwai Point subsidy 48% approve, 46% disapprove

Republic

  • 29% support
  • 60% opposition

Charter schools

  • 45% support
  • Slightly over half think  public money should be prioritised for public schools
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Constitutional Issues poll

April 6, 2013

Research NZ surveyed 500 NZers in March 2013. They found:

  • Only 33 percent of New Zealanders had heard of the Constitutional Review. 
  • The respondents were evenly split on the question of the need for a constitutional review. Some 44 percent believed there was a need and 44 percent did not.
  • On the question of whether Parliament alone should decide whether to adopt a new constitution, or whether a referendum should be held, there was an overwhelming majority in favour of a referendum being held, 79 percent being in favour of a referendum. Only 13 percent believed the decision to adopt a new constitution should be decided by parliament alone.
  • On the question of whether a new constitution should incorporate the principles of the Treaty of Waitangi, some 58 percent were in favour and 35 percent were not. 
  • A majority of 58 percent of respondents were in favour of a four year parliamentary term. 
  • There is not a great deal of support for the suggestion that New Zealand should become a republic, some 28 percent being in favour and 62 percent against.
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Prince Charles

January 27, 2013

The Herald on Sunday reports:

Barely one-third of New Zealanders want Prince Charles to be their next head of state, according to a poll taken after his million-dollar royal tour.

The verdict has shocked monarchists, who insist the royal family are witnessing a resurgence in popularity thanks to the marriage of William and Kate and the Queen’s year-long Diamond Jubilee celebrations.

According to a Key Research-Herald on Sunday survey, 37.4 per cent of New Zealanders want Prince Charles to succeed to the throne and reign over New Zealand. More of the 1000 poll respondents – 43.3 per cent – oppose him ascending our throne. The remaining 19.4 per cent don’t know who they want.

 

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One News Colmar Brunton Poll October 2012

November 21, 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,009 of whom 856 had a party vote preference

Undecideds: 11%

Dates: 27 October to 31 October 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 45.0% (nc)
  • Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.6% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 2.2% (-0.7%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 4.9% (+3.1%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 41
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – 1 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 58/121 -3 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 42% (-2%)
  • David Shearer 11% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 6% (+2%)
  • Russel Norman 3% (+1%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 44% (+3%)
  • Worse 34% (-2%)
  • Same 22% (-1%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • Support 30% (+2%)
  • Oppose 64% (-1%)
  • Unsure 6% (-1%)

Republic

  • Become a republic 19% (-6%)
  • Stay with Queen as Head of State 74% (+7%)
  • Unsure 7% (-2%)

Trust in Government to protect personal details

  • Yes 37%
  • No 60%
  • Unsure 4%

Most effective opposition leader

  • David Shearer 25%
  • Winston Peters 24%
  • Russel Norman 18%
  • Hone Harawira 6%
  • Metiria Turei 5%
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Republicanism

February 10, 2009

Research NZ polled 500 people from 26 November to 3 Decmeber 2008 on republicanism.

  • 42% of NZers support NZ becoming a Republic, and 38% do not
  • 48% of men support a republic, compared to only 37% of women
  • Most under 40s support a republic while those over 60 are against 2:1
  • 45% wants Prince Charles to succeed the Queen and 43% Prince William
  • A net 13% of men want Charles and a net 9% of women want William
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Curia's blog specialises in polls and polling, with a mainly New Zealand focus. More

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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 36.2% 46
Labour 27.6% 35
Act 9.5% 12
Green 12.6% 16
NZ First 6.4% 8
Maori 2.5% 3
Total 94.7% 120
11/10/23
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