Fairfax Ipsos poll 11 September 2014
September 14, 2014
Polling Company: Ipsos
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1000 respondents of whom 873 have a party preference
Undecideds:
Dates: 04 September to 11 September 2014
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 52.8% (-1.4%)
- Labour 22.4% (-1.9%)
- Green 13.0% (+0.1%)
- NZ First 4.4% (+0.8%)
- Maori 1.0% (+0.7%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
- ACT 0.7% (+0.5%)
- Mana 1.4% (+0.1%)
- Conservative 3.6% (+1.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 29
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 2
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 70 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 72/123 – 10 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 29 + Greens 17 + Mana 2 = 48/123 – 14 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123
On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.
Preferred PM
- John Key 57.5% (-0.1%)
- David Cunliffe 17.5% (nc)
Housing Policies
- 49% prefer National’s home start grants
- 38% prefer Labour’s Kiwibuild
Next National Leader
- Bill English 33%
- Steven Joyce 22%
- Paula Bennett 11%
- Simon Bridges 9%
Affordability of Spending Promises
- National +42% (62% affordable, 20% unaffordable)
- Labour -5%
- NZ First -3%
- Greens -26%
- Conservatives -9%
- Internet Mana -32%
Auckland Transport
- City Rail Link 40% most important
- 2nd harbour crossing 32%
- Dominion Road upgrade 15%
- Puhoi to Wellsford 12%
Auckland Growth
- 55% support new suburbs
- 38% build high rises
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