One News Colmar Brunton poll late August 2014
September 2, 2014
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 843 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 12%
Dates: 23 to 27 August 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 48.0% (-2.0%)
- Labour 28.0% (+2.0%
- Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 0.4% (+1.0%)
- Maori 0.6% (-0.3%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana/Internet 1.6% (-2.3%)
- NZ First 6.0% (+1.0%)
- Conservative 3.2% (+0.8%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 35
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 2
- NZ First 8
- Conservative 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/123 – one fewer than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Greens 14 + Mana/Internet 2 = 51/123 – 11 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 8 = 11/124
On this poll National could form a centre-right Governmentwith either the Maori Party or NZ First. Labour could form a Government with both NZ First and Maori Party (and Greens and Internet Mana).
Preferred PM
- John Key 47% (+2.0%)
- David Cunliffe 12% (+2%)
- Winston Peters 5% (+1.0%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 56% (+8%)
- Worse 19% (-3%)
- Same 25% (-5%)
Hager book
- Believe allegations 41% (+13%)
- Not believe 35% (-8%)
- Unsure 24% (-5%)
- Net negatively influenced view of National 13% (+8%)
- Collins should stand down 61% agree, 26% disagree
- Key informed of SIS OIA released – 41% believe he was not, 44% do not believe him
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