One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2015
June 2, 2015
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,003 respondents, of whom 833 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 23 May to 27 May 2015
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 48.0% (-1%)
- Labour 31.0% (nc)
- Green 10.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 0.1% (-0.4%)
- Maori 1.4% (+0.6%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.0% (-1.1%)
- NZ First 7.0% (nc)
- Conservative 2.3% (+0.8%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 38
- Green 12
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 9
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/122 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 12 = 50/122 – 12 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 2 + NZ First 9 = 12/122
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government with either the Maori Party or NZ First. Labour could not form a Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 44% (+2%)
- Andrew Little 9% (-2%)
- Winston Peters 9% (-1%)
2015 Budget
- 4% say made them better off
- 10% say worse off
- 72% no change
Property Tax Rules
- 14% say Govt’s changes to tax investment homes wold within two years go too far
- 28% say not far enough
- 50% say are about right
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