Archives: Reid Research

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  17 to 24 May 2018

Client: Newshub

Report: Reid Research

Party Support

  • National 45.1% (+0.6%)
  • Labour 42.6% (+0.3%)
  • Green 5.7% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 2.4% (-1.4%)
  • Maori 0.9% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.2% (nc)
  • Opportunities 1.6% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 55
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 55 + Greens 8 = 63/122 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0  = 0/122

On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government

Preferred PM

  • Simon Bridges 9.0% (+8.5%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 40.2% (+2.3%)
  • Winston Peters 4.6% (-1.1%)
  • Judith Collins 3.7% (+3.5%)

Leader Ratings

  • Simon Bridges – +11.9%
  • Jacinda Ardern – +54.8%

Peters as Acting PM

  • do well 39%
  • not do well or unsure 60%

M Bovis

  • 44% support taxpayer funding cost of eradication
  • 44.5% do not support

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  18 to 28 January 2018

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 44.5% (-1.3%)
  • Labour 42.3% (+5.0%)
  • Green 6.0% (-1.1%)
  • NZ First 3.8% (-3.3%)
  • Maori 0.8% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.4%)
  • Opportunities 1.4% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 55
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 55 + Greens 8 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0  = 0/121

On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 26.0% (-8.7%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 38.0% (+8.3%)

Leader Ratings

  • Bill English – 53.3% well and 24.2% poor = +28.9%
  • Jacinda Ardern – 70.9% well and 9.3% poor = +61.6%

PM’s pregnancy

  • positively affect her performance 34%
  • negatively 20%
  • No impact 39%

Te Tai Tokerau poll

September 22, 2017

Reid Research for Maori TV found:

Party Vote

  • Labour 50%
  • Maori Party 10%
  • NZ First 15%
  • National 8%
  • Greens 10%
  • Mana 6%

Electorate Vote

  • Kelvin Davis (L) 67%
  • Hine Harawira (Mana) 30%

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  13 to 20 September 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 45.8% (-1.5%)
  • Labour 37.3% (-0.5%)
  • Green 7.1% (+2.2%)
  • NZ First 7.1% (+1.1%)
  • Maori 0.4% (-0.7%)
  • ACT 0.6% (+0.1%)
  • Opportunities 0.9% (-0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 45
  • Green 9
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + ACT 1 = 57/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 45 + Greens 9 = 54/122 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 34.7% (+1.6%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 29.7% (-2.0%)
  • Winston Peters 7.1% (+0.2%)

Tamaki Makaurau poll

September 18, 2017

Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:

Party Vote

  • Labour 47.0% (+6.2%)
  • Maori Party 14.5% (+1.7%)
  • NZ First 12.1% (-2.0%)
  • Greens 11.3% (-0.5%)
  • National 12.6% (+5.0%)

Electorate Vote

  • Peeni Henare (L) 46.0% (+7.7%)
  • Shane Taurima (M) 32.6% (+1.7%)
  • Marama Davidson (G) 21.4% (+5.5%)

The changes are from the election result.

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  6 to 11 September 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 47.3% (+4.0%)
  • Labour 37.8% (-1.6%)
  • Green 4.9% (-1.2%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (-0.6%)
  • Maori 1.1% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.1%)
  • Opportunities 1.6% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 49
  • Green 0
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 49 + Greens 0 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 33.1% (+3.0%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 31.7% (+1.8%)
  • Winston Peters 6.9% (nc)

Waiariki poll

September 11, 2017

Reid Research for Maori TV found:

Party Vote

  • Labour 50%
  • Maori Party 27%
  • NZ First 10%
  • National 6%
  • Greens 5%

Electorate Vote

  • Tamati Coffey (L) 40%
  • Te Ururoa Flavell (M) 60%

Hauraki-Waikato poll

September 11, 2017

Reid Research for Maori TV found:

Party Vote

  • Labour 53%
  • NZ First 15%
  • Maori Party 15%

Electorate Vote

  • Nanaia Mahuta (L) 78%
  • Rahui Papa (M) 22%

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  approx 22 to 30 August 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 43.3% (-1.1%)
  • Labour 39.4% (+6.3%)
  • Green 6.1% (-2.2%)
  • NZ First 6.6% (-2.6%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.6% (nc)
  • Mana
  • Opportunities 1.9% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 53
  • Labour 49
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 53 + ACT 1 = 54/121 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 49 + Greens 8 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 30.1% (+2.4%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 29.9% (+3.6%)
  • Winston Peters 6.9% (-3.1%)

Te Tai Tonga poll

August 30, 2017

Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:

Party Vote

  • Labour 47.6% (+10.7%)
  • Maori Party 11.7% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 14.4% (+1.5%)
  • Greens 9.3% (+7.2%)
  • National 14.1% (-0.3%)

Electorate Vote

  • Rino Tirikatene (L) 57.1% (+14.2%)
  • Mei Reedy-Taare (M) 22.1% (-2.8%)
  • Metiria Turei (G) 20.7% (-4.1%)

The changes are from the election result.

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