A Fairfax Nielsen poll finds the following support to replace John Key as Leader and Prime Minister:
Also in terms of impact on voting National:
And in terms of election timing:
The Dominion Post reports:
Nearly three quarters of people living in the Wellington region do not want to be part of a proposed super-city, a new poll reveals.
Wellington City Council has released the results of a Nielsen survey it commissioned this month, which found just 26 per cent support across the Wellington region for merging its nine councils. …
Wellington City Council’s survey found support for the proposal was just 17 per cent in the Wairarapa and 18 per cent in Hutt Valley.
Support in Porirua and Kapiti was slightly higher at 29 per cent, while 30 per cent of those living in Wellington city were keen on the idea.
Wade-Brown said there was still an opportunity to re-think the super-city proposal and come up with a new approach.
The survey showed an alternative model with a separate Wairarapa council and one or more metro councils formed across the remainder of the region would have 50 per cent support.
Polling Company: Nielsen
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: unclear, assumed 1000
Dates: estimated up until 2 Nov 2008
Client: Fairfax Media
Report: Stuff
Party Support
Projected Seats
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 61 is shown. It is assumed ACT and United Future would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
Polling Company: Nielsen
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,160 total voters, (2.9% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 08 to 14 October 2008 (estimated)
Client: Fairfax Media
Report: Stuff
Party Support
Projected Seats
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
The Dominion Post reports further results from the Fairfax/Nielsen poll, on the issue of NZ First:
Polling Company: Nielsen
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,102 total voters, 981 decided voters (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 6 to 12 August 2008
Client: Fairfax Media
Party Support
Preferred PM
Polling Company: Nielsen
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,049 total voters, 913 decided voters (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 9 to 15 July 2008
Client: Fairfax Media
Party Support
Preferred PM