Archives: NZ Issues Polls

One News Colmar Brunton Poll October 2012

November 21, 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,009 of whom 856 had a party vote preference

Undecideds: 11%

Dates: 27 October to 31 October 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 45.0% (nc)
  • Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.6% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 2.2% (-0.7%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 4.9% (+3.1%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 41
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – 1 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 58/121 -3 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 42% (-2%)
  • David Shearer 11% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 6% (+2%)
  • Russel Norman 3% (+1%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 44% (+3%)
  • Worse 34% (-2%)
  • Same 22% (-1%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • Support 30% (+2%)
  • Oppose 64% (-1%)
  • Unsure 6% (-1%)

Republic

  • Become a republic 19% (-6%)
  • Stay with Queen as Head of State 74% (+7%)
  • Unsure 7% (-2%)

Trust in Government to protect personal details

  • Yes 37%
  • No 60%
  • Unsure 4%

Most effective opposition leader

  • David Shearer 25%
  • Winston Peters 24%
  • Russel Norman 18%
  • Hone Harawira 6%
  • Metiria Turei 5%
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Mining poll

August 25, 2012

ResearchNZ polled 500 adults:

  • 52% favour aeromagnetic surveying of minerals in world heritage sites
  • 37% are against
  • 42% support actual mining in world heritage sites that are not in Schedule 4
  • 49% are against
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Schools poll

August 25, 2012

ResearchNZ polled 500 adults:

  • 55% are in favour of schools being given an achievement rating based on their national standards results
  • 37% are against
  • 55% are also in favour of performance pay for school teachers
  • 39% are against
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Christchurch Cathedral poll

August 25, 2012

ResearchNZ polled 92 Cantabrians:

  • 48% supported the plan to demolish the cathedral to 2-3 metres and then rebuild it from there
  • 26% supported no further demolition and reconstruction
  • 15% supported neither option
  • 11% had no opinion
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Auckland CBD Rail Loop poll

August 25, 2012

Research NZ polled 199 Aucklanders:

  • 63% approved of the plan to build an inner city rail loop
  • 29% disapproved
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Waikato views on same sex marriage

August 15, 2012

The Waikato Times reports:

This comes in the wake of a Waikato Times Versus Research poll this week of 600 people in the region, which found 46 per cent in support of gay marriage and 39 per cent opposed.

Women were more likely to support marriage equality, with 52 per cent in favour, compared with 35 per cent of men.

There was also a generational divide, with 50 per cent of over 55s against gay marriage and 62 per cent of people aged 18 to 39 for it.Wai

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Scott Guy verdict poll

July 16, 2012

Stuff reports:

The survey of 750 New Zealanders aged 18 years and over, conducted in the days immediately after the verdict, shows almost half of the respondents believed Macdonald was guilty.

When asked “From what you have seen, heard or feel about the case, do you think it is more likely Ewen Macdonald is guilty or not guilty?” 48 per cent said guilty.

A further 20 per cent said not guilty, 28 per cent said they were unsure, and 4 per cent of people refused to answer. …

The survey also showed support for major changes to the criminal justice system similar to those advocated for by Sensible Sentencing Trust spokesman Garth McVicar this week.

This included getting rid of a defendant’s right to silence, which would mean they would be forced to give evidence at the trial. Of those surveyed, 61 per cent thought this was a good idea. …

Three-quarters of people thought juries should be able to return a verdict of “not-proven” alongside “not guilty” and “guilty,” as used in the Scottish legal system. A “not-proven” verdict is essentially an acquittal, but gives juries an option where they feel that the charges have not been proved but they equally cannot say the accused is “not guilty”.

d

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Mining poll

July 9, 2012

The Herald reports:

The poll, conducted late last month, showed 27 per cent of those questioned supported the Government’s aim to increase oil gas and mineral exploration and almost a further 40 per cent cautiously supported it.

Thirty per cent of the 750 respondents were strongly opposed or leaned towards opposing increased exploration.

 

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Alcohol polls

July 3, 2012

The Herald reports:

A Herald DigiPoll found that 56.5 percent of New Zealanders opposed a minimum price for alcohol, while 40.6 percent supported it.

Also the Herald reports:

Asked which purchase age they preferred in Parliament’s review of liquor laws, 54.4 per cent of respondents said 20 years old, and 25 per cent said 20 for off-licensed stores.

Just 19.4 per cent wanted the age kept at 18 for both on-licences (bars and restaurants) and off-licences (supermarkets and bottle stores).

 

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League Tables poll

July 1, 2012

The Herald reports:

Almost 59 per cent of DigiPoll respondents approve of publishing of the material, either by the Ministry of Education or the media or both. But 36.4 per cent believe comparisons between schools are unfair.

The poll of 750 people was conducted between June 18 and 28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 per cent.

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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 32.7% 40
Labour 33.1% 41
Green 10.2% 13
Act 7.9% 10
NZ First 10.2% 13
TPM 2.6% 3
CR 50.8% 63
CL 46.0% 57
16/02/26
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