Roy Morgan on biggest issues
July 5, 2017
Roy Morgan reports on the biggest issues:
- Poverty 14%
- House prices 13.7%
- Homelessness 9.6%
- Government 6.2%
- Immigration 5.5%
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Roy Morgan poll June 2017
June 24, 2017
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 871 of whom 817 have a party preference
Undecideds: 6.5%
Dates: 29 May to 11 June 2017
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 46.5% (+3.5%)
- Labour 25.5% (-3.0%)
- Green 14.0% (nc)
- NZ First 9.0% (-1.0%)
- Maori 1.5% (nc)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 32
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 11
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 32 + Greens 17 = 49/121 – 11 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121
On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 61.5 (+1.0%)
- Wrong 27.0% (nc)
- Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.0%)
Horizon poll on euthanasia
June 20, 2017
Horizon reported:
Support for medical assistance to die for those suffering from end-stage terminal illness and irreversible unbearable suffering was 75% overall, with only 11% opposed. …
Polling of another possible policy option found overall support was also very strong for medical assistance to die for people who had irreversible conditions, such as motor neurone disease, which may not cause death in the immediate future, with 66% in favour and 15% opposed or strongly opposed.
Christ Church Cathedral poll
June 17, 2017
Stuff reports:
The survey, commissioned by Church Property Trustees, found 59 per cent of respondents felt Anglicans should not make the decision alone. About 48 per cent of those polled believed the Government should intervene in the future of the cathedral.
It also found 58 per cent of Christchurch residents polled favoured restoration of the earthquake-damaged building, while 33 per cent wanted a new building and 9 per cent did not mind or care what happened. …
However, respondents’ preferences changed after they were told a new build would not require government or ratepayer funds, would take eight years and would not have an impact on rates.
This was contrasted to restoration, which had a $56 million funding gap, would take seven years and would cost $1000 a day in insurance once restored. The survey did not mention the $10m government loan offer or a $15 million funding pledge from heritage group the Great Christchurch Buildings Trust for the restoration.
After this, 43 per cent of respondents wanted restoration, 49 per cent wanted a new build and 8 per cent eight per cent still did not mind or care what happened.
Newshub Reid Research poll June 2017
June 15, 2017
Polling Company: Reid Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds: Unknown
Dates: June 2017
Client: Newshub
Report: Newshub
Party Support
- National 47.4% (+0.3%)
- Labour 26.4% (-4.4%)
- Green 12.5% (+1.3%)
- NZ First 9.4% (+1.8%)
- Maori 0.7% (nc)
- United Future 0.3% (-0.1%)
- ACT 0.9% (+0.5%)
- Mana 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 0.8% (+0.4%)
- Opportunities 0.8% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 33
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 12
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 15 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 12 + Maori 1 = 13/122
On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 26.2% (+1.2%)
- Andrew Little 7.0% (-1.3%)
- Winston Peters 9.7% (+0.8%)
- Jacinda Ardern 6.6% (-3.9%)
Leader Approval
- Andrew Little -6% (-5.5%)
- Bill English +25% (-5%)
2017 Budget Family Incomes Package
- Support 67%
- Oppose 26%
Housing importance poll
June 8, 2017
Curia did a poll for the Property Institute. It asked how important is housing policy in determining your vote:
- Will determine 8%
- Very important 29%
- Important 29%
- Not an issue 32%
One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2017
June 7, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom around 801 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 12%
Dates: 27 May to 31 May 2017
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 49.0% (+3.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (nc)
- Green 9.0% (-2.0%)
- NZ First 9.0% (+1.0%)
- Maori 0.6% (-3.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.1%%)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Conservative 0.0% (-0.3%)
- Opportunities 1.4% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 37
- Green 11
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 11
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 11 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/122
On this poll National could govern with ACT and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 29.0% (+3%)
- Andrew Little 8% (+1%)
- Winston Peters 7% (-2%)
- Jacinda Ardern 6% (-3%)
2017 Budget
- 44% support tax changes
- 30% opposed
Housing
- Government taking right approach 30%
- Wrong approach 59%
Mental Health
- Support independent inquiry 77%
- Oppose 16%
Roy Morgan poll May 2017
June 6, 2017
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 856 of whom 809 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.5%
Dates: 01 May to 14 May 2017
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 43.0% (nc)
- Labour 28.5% (-1.0%)
- Green 14.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 10.0% (-0.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (-1.0%)
- Mana/Internet 1.0% (+1.0%)
- Conservative 0.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 53
- Labour 35
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 12
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Greens 17 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 12 + Maori 2 = 14/121
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 60.5 (+2.5%)
- Wrong 27.0% (-2.0%)
- Can’t Say 12.5% (-0.5%)
Mental Health poll
May 27, 2017
Stuff reports:
Only one out of ten New Zealanders thinks the Government is adequately supporting mental health care.
That’s according to a new poll released on Wednesday for the Public Service Association.
The poll showed 13 per cent of those surveyed thought the Government was doing enough to make sure Kiwis had the mental health care they needed when they needed it.
A further 60 per cent thought the Government wasn’t doing enough and 22 per cent were neutral. Five per cent of respondents weren’t sure.
Property Prices Poll April 2017
May 15, 2017
The Property Institute released:
“The number of people predicting an increase in property prices over the next six months is up 5% to 55% since March. Those expecting prices to decrease has dropped 5% from 12% to just 7%”.
“This means that expectations have rebounded to figures that closely match our November poll (56% increase & 8% decrease) – except in Auckland where there has been a big slump in expectations. Back in November 58% of Aucklanders were expecting house prices to rise – but last month that figure was down 12% to 46%, unchanged from our March poll”.