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Waiariki poll

September 11, 2017

Reid Research for Maori TV found:

Party Vote

  • Labour 50%
  • Maori Party 27%
  • NZ First 10%
  • National 6%
  • Greens 5%

Electorate Vote

  • Tamati Coffey (L) 40%
  • Te Ururoa Flavell (M) 60%

Hauraki-Waikato poll

September 11, 2017

Reid Research for Maori TV found:

Party Vote

  • Labour 53%
  • NZ First 15%
  • Maori Party 15%

Electorate Vote

  • Nanaia Mahuta (L) 78%
  • Rahui Papa (M) 22%

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 voters of whom around 800 have a party vote preference

Undecideds:

Dates: 2 September to 6 September 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 39.0% (-2.0%)
  • Labour 43.0% (nc)
  • Green 5.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 9.0% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 0.1%
  • Opportunities 1.9% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 48
  • Labour 53
  • Green 6
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 11
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour and Te Tai Haururu to Maori Party.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 48 + ACT 1 = 49/121 – 12 fewer the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 53 + Greens 6 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121

Possible Governments are:

National/Maori/NZ First 61 seats
Labour/NZ First 64 seats
Labour/Greens/Maori 61 seats

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 31.0% (-2%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 35% (+1%)
  • Winston Peters 5% (+1%)

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  approx 22 to 30 August 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 43.3% (-1.1%)
  • Labour 39.4% (+6.3%)
  • Green 6.1% (-2.2%)
  • NZ First 6.6% (-2.6%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.6% (nc)
  • Mana
  • Opportunities 1.9% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 53
  • Labour 49
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 53 + ACT 1 = 54/121 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 49 + Greens 8 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 30.1% (+2.4%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 29.9% (+3.6%)
  • Winston Peters 6.9% (-3.1%)

Whangarei poll

September 3, 2017

Colmar Brunton did a poll for Q+A in Whangarei. They found:

Party Vote

  • National 41%
  • Labour 37%
  • NZ First 16%
  • Greens 3.6%
  • Maori Party 1.3%

Electorate Vote

  • Shane Reti (N) 42%
  • Shane Jones (NZF) 24%
  • Tony Savage (L) 22%
  • Ash Holwell (G) 10%

Poll on Israel

September 3, 2017

A poll by Curia for the NZ Israel Institute found:

  • 55% support the right of Israel to exist as a Jewish state and 13% opposed
  • 30% believe NZ should have abstained on the UN Security Council resolution and 27% support the co-sponsoring

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 voters of whom around 800 have a party vote preference

Undecideds:

Dates: 26 August to 30 August 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 41.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 43.0% (+6.0%)
  • Green 5.0% (+0.7%)
  • NZ First 8.0% (-2.0%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.7%)
  • ACT
  • Opportunities 1.0% (-1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 50
  • Labour 53
  • Green 6
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour and Te Tai Haururu to Maori Party.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 50 + ACT 1 = 51/121 – 11 fewer the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 53 + Greens 6 = 59/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 33.0% (+3%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 34% (+4%)
  • Winston Peters 4% (-3%)

Te Tai Tonga poll

August 30, 2017

Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:

Party Vote

  • Labour 47.6% (+10.7%)
  • Maori Party 11.7% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 14.4% (+1.5%)
  • Greens 9.3% (+7.2%)
  • National 14.1% (-0.3%)

Electorate Vote

  • Rino Tirikatene (L) 57.1% (+14.2%)
  • Mei Reedy-Taare (M) 22.1% (-2.8%)
  • Metiria Turei (G) 20.7% (-4.1%)

The changes are from the election result.

Te Tai Hauauru poll

August 30, 2017

Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:

Party Vote

  • Labour 41.8% (-0.4%)
  • Maori Party 24.0% (+6.4%)
  • NZ First 11.0% (-0.8%)
  • Greens 8.1% (-3.8%)
  • National 11.2% (+4.1%)

Electorate Vote

  • Adrian Rurawhe (L) 39.0% (-2.3%)
  • Howie Tamati (M) 52.0% (+18.6%)

The changes are from the election result.

Ikaroa-Rawhiti poll

August 30, 2017

Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:

Party Vote

  • Labour 50.4% (+2.3%)
  • Maori Party 21.1% (+8.7%)
  • NZ First 12.0% (+0.6%)
  • Greens 7.5% (-3.9%)
  • National 5.9% (+0.4%)

Electorate Vote

  • Meka Whaitiri (L) 55.0% (+8.7%)
  • Marama Fox (M) 39.0% (+20.7%)

The changes are from the election result.

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