Roy Morgan poll October 2017

October 28, 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 894 of whom 863 have a party preference

Undecideds: 2.5%

Dates: 02 October to 15 October 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (+6.0%)
  • Labour 31.0% (-8.5%)
  • Green 11.0% (+2.0%)
  • NZ First 6.5% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • TOP 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 39
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 = 59/120 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 = 53/120 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 = 8/120

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.5% (-3.5%)
  • Wrong 27.0% (+2.0)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (+1.5%)
  • Slightly flawed.

    This just shows how illegitimate this govt is.!

  • bevanjs

    Preferred PMs the one I want to see for a chuckle.

  • Steely Man

    Its Roy Morgan so can be assumed to be wrong. The other point ids that NZF is still in the drivers seat.

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