Roy Morgan poll October 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 894 of whom 863 have a party preference

Undecideds: 2.5%

Dates: 02 October to 15 October 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 46.0% (+6.0%)
• Labour 31.0% (-8.5%)
• Green 11.0% (+2.0%)
• NZ First 6.5% (+0.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• TOP 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 58
• Labour 39
• Green 14
• ACT 1
• NZ First 8
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 58 + ACT 1 = 59/120 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 = 53/120 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 8 = 8/120

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 58.5% (-3.5%)
• Wrong 27.0% (+2.0)
• Can’t Say 14.5% (+1.5%)