UMR poll on Scott Watson
November 27, 2016
The Herald reports:
GUILTY
2002: 59%
2016: 23%
NOT GUILTY
2002: 15%
2016: 29%
UNSURE
2002: 26%
2016: 48%
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One News Colmar Brunton poll November 2016
November 27, 2016
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,010 voters of whom 839 have a party preference
Undecideds: 16%
Dates: 12 November to 23 November 2016
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 50.0% (+2%)
- Labour 28.0% (+2%)
- Green 11.0% (-2.0%)
- NZ First 10.0% (-1.0%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.8%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Mana 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 0.2% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 34
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 12
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 13 = 47/122 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 12 + Maori 1 = 13/122
On this poll National could govern with ACT and United Future.
Preferred PM
- John Key 36.0% (-2%)
- Andrew Little 8% (-2%)
- Winston Peters 8% (-3%)
- Jacinda Ardern 1.0% (nc)
Economic Outlook
- Better 43% (-2%)
- Same 24% (nc)
- Worse 33% (+2%)
Foreign property tax
- Support a 15% tax on foreign house buyers in Auckland 75%
- Oppose 18%
Plastic bag levy
- Support a 15c per bag levy 78%
- Oppose 19%
Surplus 2016
- Increase spending 48%
- Reduce debt 31%
- Reduce taxes 17%
ResearchNZ poll on Euthanasia
November 6, 2016
ResearchNZ polled 500 people on euthanasia:
Suppose a person has a painful, incurable disease. Do you think that doctors should be allowed by law to end the patient’s life, if the patient requests it?
- Yes 65% (-2% from July 2015)
- No 22% (-2%)
- Don’t Know 13% (+4%)
Still thinking of that person with a painful, incurable disease, do you think that someone else, such as a close relative, should be allowed by law to help end the patient’s life, if the patient requests it?
- Yes 43% (-1%)
- No 46% (-2%)
- Don’t Know 11% (+3%)
Roy Morgan poll October 2016
November 4, 2016
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 873 of whom 816 have a party preference
Undecideds: 6.5%
Dates: early October to 23 October 2016
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 48.0% (+6.5%)
- Labour 26.5% (-7.0%)
- Green 11.5% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 10.0% (+1.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Mana/Internet 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Conservative 0.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 32
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 12
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 32 + Greens 14 = 46/121 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 12 + Maori 2 = 14/121
On this poll National could govern with ACT and United Future.
Country Direction
- Right 55.5% (+3.5%)
- Wrong 29.0% (-6.0%)
- Can’t Say 15.5% (+2.5%)