Roy Morgan poll June 2016
June 20, 2016
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 868 of whom 820 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.5%
Dates: early June to 12 June 2016
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 43.0% (-2.5%)
- Labour 28.0% (-1.5%)
- Green 14.5% (+2.5%)
- NZ First 9.0% (-0.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (+1.0%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Mana/Internet 1.0% (+1.0%)
- Conservative 1.0% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 53
- Labour 35
- Green 18
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 11
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Greens 18 = 53/121 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 54.5% (-4.5%)
- Wrong 34.0% (+5.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.5% (-0.5%)
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