Archives: May 2016

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: May 2016

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 31.3% (-1.0%)
  • Green 11.1% (+0.9%)
  • NZ First 7.8% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.4% (-0.4%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.0% (-0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 38
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 = 52/122 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 1 = 11/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 36.7% (-1.6%)
  • Andrew Little 8.9% (-1.5%)
  • Winston Peters 12.1% (+2.8%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 2.6% (-1.6%)

Housing

  • 20% think Government is doing enough to control the housing market
  • 76% do not
  • 61% think foreign buyers are driving up house prices

US Ships

  • 75% support a visit by a US Navy ship
  • 20% opposed

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 870 of whom 822 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: early May to 15 May 2016

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 45.5% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 29.5% (+3.5%)
  • Green 12.0% (-2.5%)
  • NZ First 9.5% (-3.0%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 36
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 12
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 15 = 51/121 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 12 + Maori 1 = 13/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 59.0% (+1.5%)
  • Wrong 29.0% (-1.5%)
  • Can’t Say 12.0% (nc)

Stuff reports:

A new poll shows a majority of Kiwis support the Government plan to set up an ocean sanctuary in the Kermadec region.

Of 1,150 New Zealanders that took part in the polling, 89 per cent were in favour of the reserve – with 62 per cent in definite support, while 28 per cent ‘probably’ supported it (results were rounded).

Those who opposed the sanctuary made up 5 per cent, with the rest saying they were unsure.

Polling also found that for those who identified as Maori, 86 per cent were in support.

The poll was commissioned by conservation group WWF and carried out by Colmar Brunton from 27 April to 8 May, after Te Ohu Kaimoana launched legal proceedings against the Government on 29 April for allegedly breaching Maori fishing rights.

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