Roy Morgan poll September 2015
September 23, 2015
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 876 of whom 806 have a party preference
Undecideds: 8.0%
Dates: early August to 13 September 2015
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 44.5% (-6.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (+4.0%)
- Green 15.0% (+4.0%)
- NZ First 5.5% (-2.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (nc)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Mana/Internet 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Conservative 1.0% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 54
- Labour 37
- Green 18
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 120
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 54 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 56/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 18 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 2 = 12/121
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 58.0% (+4.0%)
- Wrong 29.5% (-4.5%)
- Can’t Say 12.5% (+0.5%)
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