Roy Morgan poll May 2015
May 26, 2015
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 866 of whom 823 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 04 May to 17 May 2015
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 54.0% (+8.5%)
- Labour 25.5% (-2.0%)
- Green 10.5% (-3.0%)
- NZ First 6.0% (-2.5%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (nc)
- Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 31
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – eight more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 31 + Greens 13 = 44/121 – 17 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121
On this poll National could govern alone.
Country Direction
- Right 63.0% (+1.0%)
- Wrong 26.5% (-0.5%)
- Can’t Say 10.5% (-0.5%)
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