Archives: July 2010

Oil Drilling Poll

July 13, 2010

ResearchNZ did a poll of 501 people from 22 to 30 June 2010.

  • 49% favour off shore drilling within NZ’s 200 km EEZ and 35% are against.
  • 63% have a more negative opinion of bP since the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico

ETS Poll

July 13, 2010

ResearchNZ polled 501 people from 22 June to 30 June on the Emissions Trading Scheme:

  • 58% said they do not understand the ETS well, 16% said they did and 24% were in the middle
  • 49% said they are in favour of the ETS, with 44% disagreeing
  • If costs increase for consumers then only 37% in favour and 63% against
  • 57% say NZ should lead by example when it comes to reducing emissions and 38% say wait and see what other countries do

UMR did an online poll of 350 Christchurch residents from 27 May to 7 June 2010.

  • 46% prefer Anderton as Mayor, 21% Bob Parker and 22% undecided
  • In a head to head, Anderton 61%, Parker 30%
  • Bob Parker has a net approval rating of -14% and Jim Anderton is +42%
  • 64% say Christchurch is heading in the right direction and 28% wrong direction

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 849, of whom 798 have a party preference

Dates: 21 June to 04 July 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (+2.5%)
  • Labour 29.0% (-4.0%)
  • Green 8.5% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 3.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.0% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 36
  • Green 11
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 11 = 47/121 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 65.0% (+4.5%)
  • Wrong 21.0% (-3.0%)
  • Can’t Say 14.0% (-1.5%)
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