UMR on Immigration
July 13, 2017
The Spinoff reports:
- 34% positive on immigration
- 41% neutral
- 23% negative
- 61% support migrants being able to continue traditional cultural practices, 33% opposed
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Newshub Reid Research poll March 2017
March 21, 2017
Polling Company: Reid Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds: Unknown
Dates: 10 to 19 March 2017
Client: Newshub
Report: Newshub
Party Support
- National 47.1% (+2.0%)
- Labour 30.8% (-1.9%)
- Green 11.2% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 7.6% (-0.5%)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.6%)
- United Future 0.4% (+0.3%)
- ACT 0.4% (+0.2%)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.4%)
- Conservative 0.4% (-0.1%)
- Opportunities 0.8%
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 38
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 9
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 9 + Maori 1 = 10/122
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 25.0% (-11.7% from Key)
- Andrew Little 8.3% (-2.2%)
- Winston Peters 8.9% (-2.0%)
- Jacinda Ardern 10.5%
Labour Leader
- Andrew Little 46%
- Jacinda Ardern 38%
Housing
- Is Government doing enough to control housing market – yes 19%
- No 19%
Immigration
- 51% support a cut in immigration
- 39% do not
Superannuation
- 52% support increase in entitlement age to 67
- 42% do not
Ipsos poll on immigration
October 2, 2016
Ipsos did a poll on immigration issues in multiple countries including 505 adults in NZ.
Findings include:
- 48% say housing affordability is one of top two issues
- 47% say immigration has been positive for NZ, 31% negative
- A net 52% agree immigration should be targeted at professions with shortages
- A net 48% say refugees can become highly valued contributors to society
- A net 35% say immigration has made NZ a more interesting place to live
- A net 28% say immigration is good for the economy
- A net 30% agree immigration has placed too much pressure on public services
- A net 15% are confident most refugees will integrate
- A net 12% say immigration has made it harder for those here to get jobs
- A net 10% say there are too many immigrants in NZ
- A net 10% say terrorists who pretend to be refugees will enter NZ
- A net 7% say immigrants are often better workers than those already here
- A net -15% want an increase in the number of refugees
- A net -35% say the number of immigrants who can move here should increase
- A net -40% want no refugees accepted at all
- 48% of NZers think Brexit was wrong decision for the UK and 32% right decision
The full results are here – ipsos-new-zealand-immigration-refugees-and-brexit-survey-report-2016
One News Colmar Brunton poll September 2016
September 12, 2016
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,013 voters of whom 845 have a party preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 03 September to 09 September 2016
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 48.0% (nc)
- Labour 26.0% (-3%)
- Green 13.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 11.0% (+2.0%)
- Maori 1.8% (+1.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
- Mana 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 0.3% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 31
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 13
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 31 + Greens 15 = 46/121 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 13 + Maori 2 = 15/122
On this poll National (plus ACT and United) could govern with the Maori Party. Labour could govern with Greens, NZ First and Maori Party. The Maori Party would hold the effective balance of power.
Preferred PM
- John Key 38.0% (-1%)
- Andrew Little 10% (+3%)
- Winston Peters 11% (-1%)
- Jacinda Ardern 1.0% (nc)
Economy
- Better 45% (+3%)
- Worse 31% (-5%)
Immigration
- Fewer migrants 38% (+11% from April)
- Current numbers rights 44% (-7%)
- More migrants 13% (-5%)
Housing
- 53% say Government should take more action even if it reduces house values
- 31% say more should be done but only if house values do not shrink
- 11% say no more action needed
Newshub Reid Research poll August 2016
August 9, 2016
Polling Company: Reid Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds: Unknown
Dates: 22 July to 3 August 2016
Client: Newshub
Report: Newshub
Party Support
- National 45.1% (-1.9%)
- Labour 32.7% (+1.4%)
- Green 11.5% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 8.1% (+0.3%)
- Maori 1.3% (+0.3%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- ACT 0.2% (-0.2%)
- Mana 0.4% (+0.3%)
- Conservative 0.5% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 55
- Labour 39
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 10
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 = 53/122 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/122
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- John Key 36.7% (nc)
- Andrew Little 10.5% (+1.6%)
- Winston Peters 10.9% (-1.2%)
Housing
- 22% (+2%) think Government is doing enough to control the housing market
- 75% (-1%) do not
- 56% support Labour’s Kiwibuild (100,000 new houses in 10 years) policy
- 41% do not
Immigration
- 60% think the Government should let fewer immigrants in
- 37% do not
One News Colmar Brunton poll April 2016
April 10, 2016
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,011 voters of whom 841 have a party preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 2 to 6 April 2016
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 50.0% (+3%)
- Labour 28.0% (-4%)
- Green 10.0% (+2.0%)
- NZ First 9.0% (-1%)
- Maori 1.1% (nc)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.7% (+0.4%)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.3%)
- Conservative 0.3% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 34
- Green 11
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 11
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 11 = 45/121 – 16 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/121
On this poll National could govern alone.
Preferred PM
- John Key 39.0% (-1)
- Andrew Little 7.0% (-2%)
- Winston Peters 10.0% (+1%)
- Jacinda Ardern 2.0% (nc)
Economic Outlook
- Better 43% (+5%)
- Worse 33% (-6%)
- Same 24% (+1%)
Sugar Tax
- 66% support a tax on soda drinks with sugar
- 29% oppose
Universal Basic Income (UBI)
- Support 32%
- Oppose 49%
Medical Marijuana (cannabis)
- Support 73%
- Oppose 21%
Immigration Levels
- More migrants 18%
- Fewer migrants 27%
- About right level 51%
Q+A Colmar Brunton poll Nov 2015
December 14, 2015
A Colmar Brunton poll for Q+A found:
Most concerning issues in order:
- Wages
- Housing affordability
- Unemployment
- Foreign property ownership
- Immigration
- Climate change
Poverty
- Government should be doing more about poverty 66%
- Government is doing about right amount 27%
- Government should be doing less 1%
Social Housing
- Government should be doing more for social housing 55%
- Government is doing about right amount 36%
- Government should be doing less 3%
Republic
- NZ should become a republic 19%
- Stay with monarchy 73%
Australian deportations
- NZ should deport non citizens who serve more than a year in prison 74%
- Disagree 18%
NZ Herald Digipoll June 2014
June 17, 2014
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Undecideds: 12.2%
Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 659 had a party preference
Dates: 06 to 15 June 2014
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald
Party Support
- National 50.4% (-0.4%)
- Labour 30.5% (+1.0%)
- Green 10.7% (-2.4%)
- NZ First 3.6% (nc)
- Maori 0.8% (+0.6%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- ACT 0.7% (-0.1%)
- Mana/Internet 1.4% (+1.3%)
- Conservative 1.5% (+0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 38
- Green 14
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Mana/Internet 2
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/123 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 + Mana/Internet 2 = 54/123 -eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123
On this poll, National would form the Government.
Preferred PM
- Key 65.9% (-0.6%)
- Cunliffe 12.7% (+1.6%)
- Peters 6.2% (-0.3%)
- Norman 2.5% (-2.0%)
Electorate MP threshold
- Keep 50%
- Remove and drop threshold to 4% – 36%
Mana/Internet deal
- Unprincipled rort 43%
- Legitimate use of MMP 33%
Country Direction
- Right 65%
Political Fundraising
- 42% say politicians speaking regularly to donors in private meetings is a bad look
- 30% say nothing wrong
- 21% say it is corrupt
Capital Gains Tax
- 41% favour
- 35% opposed
Cannabis
- 33% decriminalise
- 20% legalise
- 45% remain illegal
Immigration
- Levels about right 50%
- Too high 35%
Coalition Partners
- Preferred coalition partner for Labour is Greens 50% then NZ First 35%
3 News Reid Research poll May 2014
May 25, 2014
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds:
Dates: approx 17 to 22 May 2014
Client: 3 News
Party Support
- National 50.3% (+4.4%)
- Labour 29.5% (-1.7%)
- Green 10.2% (-1.0%)
- ACT 0.5% (-0.6%)
- Maori 0.6% (-0.9%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
- Mana 0.2% (-0.9%)
- NZ First 5.6% (+0.7%)
- Conservative 2.3% (+0.4%)
- Internet 0.6% (+0.6%)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 36
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/124 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 + Internet 0 = 50/124 – thirteen fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/124
On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- Key 46.3% (+3.7%)
- Cunliffe 9.8% (+0.8%)
- Peters
- Norman
2014 Budget
- 73% like Budget 24% dislike
- 67% of Labour voters like it
Immigration
- 62% support tighter restrictions on immigration
- 35% oppose
One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2014
May 25, 2014
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 755 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 17%
Dates: 17 to 21 May 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 51.0% (+4.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 11.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.8% (+0.5%)
- Maori 0.8% (+0.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
- Mana 0.4% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 4.8% (-2.2%)
- Conservative 1.3% (-1.0%)
- Internet 0.7% (+0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 38
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Internet 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – five more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 + Internet 0 = 53/123 – nine fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 43% (+1.0%)
- David Cunliffe 10% (+2.0%)
- Winston Peters 6% (+2.0%)
House Prices
- 68% support register of foreign ownership of property, 22% against
- 57% support more immigration controls to reduce house prices, 33% against
Economic Outlook
- Better 59% (-3%)
- Same 24% (+6%)
- Worse 17% (-3%)
Budget
- Better off 9% (+3%)
- Same 66% (-4%)
- Worse off 10% (-3%)