Roy Morgan poll April 2017

April 29, 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 862 of whom 802 have a party preference

Undecideds: 7.0%

Dates: 01 April to 16 April 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 43.0% (-0.5%)
  • Labour 29.5% (nc)
  • Green 13.0% (-1.5%)
  • NZ First 10.5% (+3.0%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-1.0%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 1.5% (+1.0%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 0.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 52
  • Labour 36
  • Green 16
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 13
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 52 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 16 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 13 + Maori 1 = 14/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.0 (-3.5%)
  • Wrong 29.0% (+3.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)
  • PJM

    Would somebody please explain why, in the list of projected seats, the parties are not listed in descending order of projected seats?

    NZ First should be fourth on the list, not last!

  • PJM

    The most obvious coalition would be:

    CR – National 52 + NZ First 13 = 65/121 – four more than the minimum needed to govern.

    Why is this most obvious coalition not mentioned?

    If National decided not to gift Epsom to ACT, ACT would have no seats, which is the number it deserves, and the coalition would be:

    CR – National 53 + NZ First 13 = 66/121 – five more than the minimum needed to govern.

Get Curia's monthly polling newsletter Sign up now

Get Curia's blog posts
via email

Get Curia's monthly polling
newsletter