One News Colmar Brunton poll March 2017

March 28, 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 voters

Undecideds:

Dates: 18 March to 22 March 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (nc)
  • Labour 30.0% (nc)
  • Green 11.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 8.0% (-3.0%)
  • Maori 4.0% (+3.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • ACT 0.4% (-0.4%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.6%)
  • Conservative 0.3% (+0.1%)
  • Opportunities 0.4% (+0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 36
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/122 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 14 = 50/122 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 9 + Maori 5 = 14/122

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 26.0% (-5%)
  • Andrew Little 7% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 9% (+1%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 9% (+5%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 46% (-2%)
  • Same 28% (-2%)
  • Worse 26% (+4%)

Superannuation

  • Support increase in eligibility age to 67 – 52%
  • Opposed 40%

Freedom Camping

  • 69% think more needs to be done to control behaviour of freedom campers
  • 23% disagree

Vaccinations

  • 48% support banning unvaccinated children from early childhood centres
  • 43% disagree
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