Newshub Reid Research poll March 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  10 to 19 March 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

• National 47.1% (+2.0%)
• Labour 30.8% (-1.9%)
• Green 11.2% (-0.3%)
• NZ First 7.6% (-0.5%)
• Maori 0.7% (-0.6%)
• United Future 0.4% (+0.3%)
• ACT 0.4% (+0.2%)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.4%)
• Conservative 0.4% (-0.1%)
• Opportunities 0.8%

Projected Seats

• National 58
• Labour 38
• Green 14
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 9
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 9 + Maori 1 = 10/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• Bill English 25.0% (-11.7% from Key)
• Andrew Little 8.3% (-2.2%)
• Winston Peters 8.9% (-2.0%)
• Jacinda Ardern 10.5%

Labour Leader

• Andrew Little 46%
• Jacinda Ardern 38%

Housing

• Is Government doing enough to control housing market – yes 19%
• No 19%

Immigration

• 51% support a cut in immigration
• 39% do not

Superannuation

• 52% support increase in entitlement age to 67
• 42% do not