Newshub Reid Research poll August 2016

August 9, 2016

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 22 July to 3 August 2016

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 45.1% (-1.9%)
  • Labour 32.7% (+1.4%)
  • Green 11.5% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 8.1% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.3% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.5% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 39
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 = 53/122 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 36.7% (nc)
  • Andrew Little 10.5% (+1.6%)
  • Winston Peters 10.9% (-1.2%)

Housing

  • 22% (+2%) think Government is doing enough to control the housing market
  • 75% (-1%)  do not
  • 56% support Labour’s Kiwibuild (100,000 new houses in 10 years) policy
  • 41% do not

Immigration

  • 60% think the Government should let fewer immigrants in
  • 37% do not
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